Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.426076 2.580425 2.743975 2.930936 3.139688 3.366705 3.633766
2026-02-08 2.139032 2.345036 2.574733 2.852458 3.182809 3.568018 4.058616
2026-02-15 1.993516 2.227537 2.497123 2.835429 3.255787 3.771213 4.468420
2026-02-22 1.874259 2.124658 2.420400 2.802518 3.294326 3.923183 4.819577
2026-03-01 1.755683 2.011336 2.318901 2.725121 3.262315 3.972364 5.028852
2026-03-08 1.650543 1.906678 2.219368 2.639735 3.208137 3.980614 5.173326
2026-03-15 1.591745 1.855302 2.182204 2.630313 3.251471 4.122859 5.528075
2026-03-22 1.539009 1.808090 2.146590 2.618810 3.288472 4.256242 5.883806
2026-03-29 1.495403 1.769910 2.119853 2.616259 3.335905 4.406890 6.286665
2026-04-05 1.479419 1.766231 2.137625 2.675077 3.475362 4.710603 7.001179
2026-04-12 1.443106 1.733823 2.114628 2.673943 3.523823 4.873177 7.488033
2026-04-19 1.447513 1.755364 2.165527 2.781510 3.746850 5.348674 8.683481
2026-04-26 1.380241 1.680212 2.082701 2.692819 3.661614 5.300325 8.824046
2026-05-03 1.320061 1.613064 2.008962 2.614710 3.589405 5.270784 9.010703
2026-05-10 1.284964 1.578707 1.979603 2.601313 3.621261 5.432781 9.676382
2026-05-17 1.247754 1.539892 1.941937 2.572523 3.624216 5.539921 10.240872
2026-05-24 1.201566 1.486952 1.881712 2.505192 3.555718 5.499977 10.416334
2026-05-31 1.155958 1.433472 1.818830 2.430688 3.469731 5.416527 10.457014
2026-06-07 1.132019 1.409745 1.798469 2.422454 3.499510 5.570575 11.214402
2026-06-14 1.108973 1.386487 1.777793 2.412399 3.524864 5.718279 12.009487
2026-06-21 1.089348 1.367443 1.762554 2.410170 3.563955 5.900322 12.991545
2026-06-28 1.084901 1.369955 1.779521 2.461549 3.706764 6.334610 15.081230
2026-07-05 1.067234 1.352683 1.765737 2.460559 3.749392 6.544723 16.468723